Yankees Mailbag: Gio Urshela, the bait-and-switch and offseason arms
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ypar70 asks: Is Gio Urshela having a greater season than Scott Brosius on the ‘98 Yankee Dynasty? And the way do the postseason stats evaluate — if potential at this level?
That is an fascinating comparability, let’s dive into it a bit. Brosius has an analogous background to Urshela in that he was a longtime member of a distinct group — on this case, the Athletics — however by no means actually emerged as a constant participant with the bat earlier than breaking out in his first season in pinstripes. The primary variations, nevertheless, are that Brosius spent his time with the foremost league membership whereas Urshela was primarily a minor leaguer with the Indians, and Brosius did have an amazing 1996 season whereas in Oakland.
Speaking particularly about 1998 Brosius, it was undoubtedly the third baseman’s greatest season in pinstripes. He slashed .300/.371/.472 with 19 residence runs and 98 RBI, good for a 123 wRC+ and a 5 fWAR season. Urshela hasn’t had the complete season to precisely evaluate to Brosius’ numbers, however what he compiled on this 60-game 12 months seems to be on an analogous tempo. Urshela slashed .298/.368/.490 with six bombs and 30 RBI, amassing a 133 wRC+ and 1.6 fWAR. If we assume Urshela performs to that efficiency all through 162 video games as a substitute of 60, he’d finish the 12 months with round 18 homers, 80 RBI and 4.2 fWAR. Not fairly on par, however shut.
Steve asks: I’m positive you can be fielding a dozen questions on this identical matter, but it surely appears apparent to me the “García/Happ” resolution shouldn’t be one which Boone made, or at a minimal, actually not on his personal. Looks as if a entrance workplace stage resolution. Would you agree?
Yup, I feel that sounds about proper. Boone’s hiring was just about predicated on the concept that the entrance workplace was going to be extra concerned within the game-level selections, and that they wished a clubhouse man to run issues within the dugout. The whole lot that we’ve seen over the past three years factors to that, as Boone has actually run a looser ship than Joe Girardi did, and the group has leaned extra closely on analytics and matchups than earlier than.
Cooper wrote in detail concerning the bait-and-switch earlier this week, and I largely agree together with his evaluation of the scenario. I do suppose that in a brief sequence just like the ALDS, there’s a threat with utilizing your starters in a approach that they aren’t used to, and clearly for J.A. Happ that was a situation the place he wasn’t snug. I don’t understand how totally different the sequence would look if that they had merely gone to Masahiro Tanaka in Recreation Two after which began Happ outright for Recreation Three, but it surely’s a moot level now. Tanaka didn’t carry out, and the Yankees are nonetheless alive for the second. Hopefully they’ll have an opportunity this season to contemplate what they realized from that try and apply it going ahead.
Charles asks: This postseason has as soon as once more revealed the Yankees’ pitching scarcity, so on this offseason will the group go for one more pitcher apart from re-signing Tanaka?
By no means belief pitching depth is the brand new “there isn’t any such factor as a pitching prospect,” apparently. The Yankees have had some promising rotations prior to now couple of seasons get fully upheaved by accidents, and whereas it’s unattainable to only exit and signal three or 4 guys to ensure they’ll have depth, they do want to handle their rotation once more.
Gerrit Cole is the anchor that they’ve wanted for a very long time now, and Tanaka, regardless of his struggles on this postseason, needs to be a high precedence to deliver again. Past that, nevertheless, there are many query marks to reply. James Paxton is pretty much as good as gone, which can open up a slot. Luis Severino will miss vital time in 2021, and if his 2019 marketing campaign is any indication there’s no assure that he will be plugged straight into the rotation in Might-June. He’ll want time to ramp up, in order it stands New York can have lots of younger pitchers filling in for 2 to a few nights per week.
The marketplace for pitchers can be skinny this 12 months, and the Yankees have a surplus of pitching prospects that haven’t had an opportunity to show themselves with not sufficient slots for all of them. Personally, I’d wish to see Brian Cashman begin to money his chips in by packaging prospects for one more tier-two pitcher that may maintain the fort down. I don’t suppose that Cashman can fairly be anticipated to swipe away one other group’s ace, however somebody like Luis Castillo could possibly be obtainable.
The group has some promising prospects, however they’re getting into the portion of their window with this core the place they need to look to go all-in earlier than they should lock guys like Aaron Judge and Gleyber Torres to long-term offers. They’ll now not be held again by a fragile rotation, and re-tooling the starters can be one of many greatest selections Cashman will face this offseason.